Container
Berlin 2019 Mirage Souvenir Package
Current case price
$17.64−9.5%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
No opens logged yet — be the first to crack one above.
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Consumer Grade
80.13%
6 items · 1 in 1.25
Industrial Grade
16.03%
5 items · 1 in 6
Mil-Spec
3.21%
3 items · 1 in 31
Restricted
0.64%
1 items · 1 in 156
Restricted · 1 items
Mil-Spec · 3 items
Industrial Grade · 5 items
Consumer Grade · 6 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$17.64
Expected return$5.23
Expected ROI−70.4%
Where the value comes from
Mil-Spec$2.21
Industrial Grade$1.72
Consumer Grade$1.12
Restricted$0.18