Container
Chroma 3 Case
Current case price
$2.91−6.9%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
No opens logged yet — be the first to crack one above.
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
60 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Karambit★ M9 Bayonet★ Bayonet★ Flip Knife★ Gut Knife
Floor$40.27
Top item$7,070.72
items60
Karambit
Doppler · Ruby
$7,070.72
Karambit
Doppler · Black Pearl
$6,112.19
M9 Bayonet
Doppler · Black Pearl
$5,883.14
Karambit
Doppler · Sapphire
$4,058.88
M9 Bayonet
Doppler · Ruby
$3,945.97
M9 Bayonet
Doppler · Sapphire
$3,340.58
Bayonet
Doppler · Black Pearl
$1,789.08
Bayonet
Doppler · Ruby
$1,512.89
Flip Knife
Doppler · Ruby
$1,361.99
Flip Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$1,297.42
Karambit
Doppler · Phase 1
$1,088.38
Karambit
Doppler · Phase 2
$1,088.38
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$5.40incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$2.33
Expected ROI−56.9%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$0.87
Covert$0.66
Classified$0.35
Restricted$0.24
Mil-Spec$0.22
