Container
Cologne 2026 Sticker Capsule
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
No opens logged yet — be the first to crack one above.
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
80.13%
5 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
16.03%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.21%
5 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
5 items · 1 in 156
Covert · 5 items
Classified · 5 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 5 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Expected return$0.52
Where the value comes from
Covert$0.21
Classified$0.13
Restricted$0.09
Mil-Spec$0.09