Container
Danger Zone Case
Current case price
$0.95+0.8%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
52 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Talon Knife★ Stiletto Knife★ Ursus Knife★ Navaja Knife
Floor$32.40
Top item$733.10
items52
Talon Knife
Fade
$733.10
Talon Knife
Slaughter
$430.92
Stiletto Knife
Fade
$384.05
Talon Knife
Case Hardened
$332.49
Stiletto Knife
Slaughter
$324.00
Talon Knife
Blue Steel
$322.92
Talon Knife
Vanilla
$294.17
Talon Knife
Crimson Web
$285.20
Talon Knife
Stained
$259.56
Talon Knife
Night Stripe
$213.00
Stiletto Knife
Case Hardened
$194.00
Talon Knife
Urban Masked
$193.04
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$3.44incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$1.25
Expected ROI−63.6%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$0.42
Covert$0.28
Mil-Spec$0.24
Classified$0.18
Restricted$0.13
