Container
DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package
Current case price
$883.73−35.0%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Consumer Grade
80.03%
35 items · 1 in 1.25
Industrial Grade
16.01%
33 items · 1 in 6
Mil-Spec
3.20%
17 items · 1 in 31
Restricted
0.64%
6 items · 1 in 156
Classified
0.13%
1 items · 1 in 781
Classified · 1 items
Restricted · 6 items
Mil-Spec · 17 items
MP9
Hot Rod
$164.03
UMP-45
Blaze
$13.29
MAC-10
Amber Fade
$5.50
Glock-18
Candy Apple
$0.89
MP7
Anodized Navy
$0.60
SSG 08
Acid Fade
$0.38
SG 553
Anodized Navy
$0.28
M4A1-S
VariCamo
$0.18
Desert Eagle
Urban Rubble
$0.14
USP-S
Night Ops
$0.13
Sawed-Off
Amber Fade
$0.10
FAMAS
Teardown
$0.09
P90
Teardown
$0.09
Five-SeveN
Silver Quartz
$0.08
Sawed-Off
Full Stop
$0.07
PP-Bizon
Brass
$0.06
SG 553
Damascus Steel
$0.05
Industrial Grade · 33 items
Glock-18
Groundwater
$9.44
SSG 08
Tropical Storm
$9.01
SG 553
Gator Mesh
$6.36
MP7
Orange Peel
$6.13
Negev
CaliCamo
$2.64
Nova
Candy Apple
$0.10
M4A4
Urban DDPAT
$0.08
AWP
Safari Mesh
$0.07
M4A1-S
Boreal Forest
$0.07
MAG-7
Metallic DDPAT
$0.07
P250
Metallic DDPAT
$0.07
SCAR-20
Carbon Fiber
$0.05
XM1014
CaliCamo
$0.05
Desert Eagle
Mudder
$0.04
MAC-10
Candy Apple
$0.04
P2000
Granite Marbleized
$0.04
UMP-45
Gunsmoke
$0.04
AK-47
Safari Mesh
$0.03
Dual Berettas
Stained
$0.03
AUG
Condemned
$0.02
FAMAS
Cyanospatter
$0.02
Galil AR
VariCamo
$0.02
M249
Gator Mesh
$0.02
MP9
Orange Peel
$0.02
PP-Bizon
Night Ops
$0.02
USP-S
Forest Leaves
$0.02
XM1014
Blue Steel
$0.02
Five-SeveN
Orange Peel
$0.01
G3SG1
VariCamo
$0.01
MAC-10
Palm
$0.01
P90
Ash Wood
$0.01
Sawed-Off
Snake Camo
$0.01
Tec-9
VariCamo
$0.01
Consumer Grade · 35 items
Five-SeveN
Contractor
$1.11
P250
Bone Mask
$1.10
P90
Scorched
$1.09
AUG
Colony
$1.00
G3SG1
Safari Mesh
$0.81
Galil AR
Hunting Blind
$0.34
AUG
Contractor
$0.01
AUG
Storm
$0.01
Dual Berettas
Colony
$0.01
Dual Berettas
Contractor
$0.01
FAMAS
Colony
$0.01
Five-SeveN
Forest Night
$0.01
G3SG1
Desert Storm
$0.01
G3SG1
Jungle Dashed
$0.01
G3SG1
Polar Camo
$0.01
Galil AR
Sage Spray
$0.01
MP7
Army Recon
$0.01
MP9
Sand Dashed
$0.01
Nova
Polar Mesh
$0.01
Nova
Predator
$0.01
Nova
Sand Dune
$0.01
P250
Boreal Forest
$0.01
P250
Sand Dune
$0.01
P90
Sand Spray
$0.01
PP-Bizon
Sand Dashed
$0.01
PP-Bizon
Urban Dashed
$0.01
R8 Revolver
Bone Mask
$0.01
SCAR-20
Contractor
$0.01
SCAR-20
Sand Mesh
$0.01
SG 553
Waves Perforated
$0.01
SSG 08
Blue Spruce
$0.01
Tec-9
Army Mesh
$0.01
Tec-9
Groundwater
$0.01
UMP-45
Urban DDPAT
$0.01
XM1014
Blue Spruce
$0.01
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$883.73
Expected return$3.73
Expected ROI−99.6%
Where the value comes from
Consumer Grade$1.51
Industrial Grade$0.90
Mil-Spec$0.70
Classified$0.52
Restricted$0.09