Container
ESL One Cologne 2014 Cache Souvenir Package
Current case price
$959.81
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
No opens logged yet — be the first to crack one above.
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Industrial Grade
80.65%
6 items · 1 in 1.24
Mil-Spec
16.13%
5 items · 1 in 6
Restricted
3.23%
2 items · 1 in 31
Restricted · 2 items
Mil-Spec · 5 items
Industrial Grade · 6 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$959.81
Expected return$5.12
Expected ROI−99.5%
Where the value comes from
Industrial Grade$2.09
Mil-Spec$2.01
Restricted$1.02