Extension
eSports 2013 Winter Case
Container

eSports 2013 Winter Case

A portion of the proceeds from the key used to unlock this will help support CS:GO professional tournament prize pools.

77 items654 drop odds
Current case price
$13.86−11.4%
Prices & marketplaces →Visit →

Unbox simulator

Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.

Recent opens

Latest community pulls from this container

Drop odds

Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
6 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
2 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
1 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
65 items · 1 in 385
Rare special items · 0.26%

Knife & glove types

★ Karambit★ M9 Bayonet★ Bayonet★ Flip Knife★ Gut Knife
Floor$41.58
Top item$1,727.60
items65
Covert · 1 items
Drop rate · 0.64%1 in 156
Classified · 3 items
Drop rate · 3.20%1 in 31
Restricted · 2 items
Drop rate · 15.98%1 in 6
Mil-Spec · 6 items
Drop rate · 79.92%1 in 1.25

Opening value

Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$16.35incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$11.08
Expected ROI−32.2%
Where the value comes from
Mil-Spec$5.76
Restricted$2.25
Classified$1.71
Rare Special Item$0.79
Covert$0.57