Container
Fever Case
Current case price
$0.51−6.1%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
52 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Skeleton Knife★ Nomad Knife★ Paracord Knife★ Survival Knife
Floor$38.29
Top item$2,358.10
items52
Skeleton Knife
Doppler · Ruby
$2,358.10
Skeleton Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$1,998.00
Skeleton Knife
Doppler · Sapphire
$1,329.57
Nomad Knife
Doppler · Ruby
$1,071.77
Nomad Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$1,045.66
Nomad Knife
Doppler · Sapphire
$698.60
Paracord Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$568.26
Skeleton Knife
Doppler · Phase 1
$556.50
Skeleton Knife
Doppler · Phase 2
$556.50
Skeleton Knife
Doppler · Phase 3
$556.50
Skeleton Knife
Doppler · Phase 4
$556.50
Paracord Knife
Doppler · Ruby
$554.42
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$3.00incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$1.06
Expected ROI−64.8%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$0.40
Covert$0.29
Classified$0.17
Restricted$0.10
Mil-Spec$0.09