Container
Gallery Case
Current case price
$0.68−13.5%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
13 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Kukri Knife
Floor$36.40
Top item$153.72
items13
Kukri Knife
Fade
$153.72
Kukri Knife
Slaughter
$110.67
Kukri Knife
Vanilla
$88.06
Kukri Knife
Case Hardened
$78.40
Kukri Knife
Blue Steel
$62.93
Kukri Knife
Crimson Web
$61.21
Kukri Knife
Stained
$50.54
Kukri Knife
Urban Masked
$41.30
Kukri Knife
Night Stripe
$41.27
Kukri Knife
Scorched
$38.89
Kukri Knife
Forest DDPAT
$37.16
Kukri Knife
Boreal Forest
$37.09
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$3.17incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$1.31
Expected ROI−58.7%
Where the value comes from
Covert$0.32
Mil-Spec$0.31
Restricted$0.27
Classified$0.23
Rare Special Item$0.18
