Container
Gallery Case
Current case price
$0.59−8.7%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
13 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Kukri Knife
Floor$34.34
Top item$148.86
items13
Kukri Knife
Fade
$148.86
Kukri Knife
Slaughter
$102.83
Kukri Knife
Vanilla
$81.29
Kukri Knife
Case Hardened
$74.82
Kukri Knife
Blue Steel
$60.48
Kukri Knife
Crimson Web
$54.00
Kukri Knife
Stained
$50.45
Kukri Knife
Urban Masked
$40.59
Kukri Knife
Night Stripe
$40.28
Kukri Knife
Scorched
$37.73
Kukri Knife
Boreal Forest
$36.20
Kukri Knife
Forest DDPAT
$35.64
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$3.08incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$1.20
Expected ROI−60.9%
Where the value comes from
Covert$0.31
Mil-Spec$0.27
Restricted$0.24
Classified$0.22
Rare Special Item$0.17