Container
Gamma Case
Current case price
$2.60+1.5%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
50 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ M9 Bayonet★ Karambit★ Bayonet★ Flip Knife★ Gut Knife
Floor$43.29
Top item$6,420.43
items50
M9 Bayonet
Gamma Doppler · Emerald
$6,420.43
Karambit
Gamma Doppler · Emerald
$5,699.95
Karambit
Gamma Doppler · Phase 1
$1,531.96
Karambit
Gamma Doppler · Phase 2
$1,531.96
Karambit
Gamma Doppler · Phase 4
$1,531.96
Karambit
Gamma Doppler · Phase 3
$1,522.04
Bayonet
Gamma Doppler · Emerald
$1,518.72
Flip Knife
Gamma Doppler · Emerald
$1,139.14
M9 Bayonet
Gamma Doppler · Phase 1
$1,078.55
M9 Bayonet
Gamma Doppler · Phase 2
$1,078.55
M9 Bayonet
Gamma Doppler · Phase 4
$1,078.55
M9 Bayonet
Gamma Doppler · Phase 3
$1,077.90
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$5.09incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$2.63
Expected ROI−48.4%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$0.94
Covert$0.70
Classified$0.42
Mil-Spec$0.31
Restricted$0.25