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Horizon Case
Container

Horizon Case

69 items52 ★4 drop odds
Current case price
$1.28−6.3%
Prices & marketplaces →Visit →

Unbox simulator

Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.

Recent opens

Latest community pulls from this container
Dual Berettas | ShredDual Berettas | ShredFT 0.188$0.3010d agoP90 | TractionP90 | TractionFT 0.227$0.4310d agoAUG | Amber SlipstreamAUG | Amber SlipstreamMW 0.095$0.3510d agoP90 | TractionP90 | TractionBS 0.509$0.2810d agoDual Berettas | ShredDual Berettas | ShredFN 0.063$0.5610d agoDual Berettas | ShredDual Berettas | ShredMW 0.074$0.4010d agoR8 Revolver | SurvivalistR8 Revolver | SurvivalistFN 0.046$1.0510d agoAUG | Amber SlipstreamAUG | Amber SlipstreamFN 0.056$1.2110d agoMP9 | CapillaryMP9 | CapillaryBS 0.548$0.2310d agoAUG | Amber SlipstreamAUG | Amber SlipstreamFN 0.026$1.2110d agoP90 | TractionP90 | TractionMW 0.099$0.5010d agoGlock-18 | WarhawkGlock-18 | WarhawkBS 0.619$0.2610d ago

Drop odds

Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
52 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%

Knife & glove types

★ Talon Knife★ Stiletto Knife★ Ursus Knife★ Navaja Knife
Floor$27.05
Top item$668.42
items52
Talon Knife | Fade
Talon Knife
Fade
$668.42
Talon Knife | Slaughter
Talon Knife
Slaughter
$430.92
Stiletto Knife | Fade
Stiletto Knife
Fade
$344.09
Stiletto Knife | Slaughter
Stiletto Knife
Slaughter
$309.67
Talon Knife | Blue Steel
Talon Knife
Blue Steel
$303.43
Talon Knife | Case Hardened
Talon Knife
Case Hardened
$281.47
Talon Knife | Crimson Web
Talon Knife
Crimson Web
$274.00
Talon Knife | Vanilla
Talon Knife
Vanilla
$269.26
Talon Knife | Stained
Talon Knife
Stained
$255.00
Talon Knife | Night Stripe
Talon Knife
Night Stripe
$197.13
Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened
Stiletto Knife
Case Hardened
$183.03
Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT
Talon Knife
Forest DDPAT
$175.22
Covert · 2 items
Drop rate · 0.64%1 in 156
AK-47 | Neon Rider
AK-47
Neon Rider
$36.48
Desert Eagle | Code Red
Desert Eagle
Code Red
$35.50
Classified · 3 items
Drop rate · 3.20%1 in 31
M4A1-S | Nightmare
M4A1-S
Nightmare
$5.63
FAMAS | Eye of Athena
FAMAS
Eye of Athena
$3.94
Sawed-Off | Devourer
Sawed-Off
Devourer
$3.86
Restricted · 5 items
Drop rate · 15.98%1 in 6
AWP | PAW
AWP
PAW
$1.79
MP7 | Powercore
MP7
Powercore
$0.66
G3SG1 | High Seas
G3SG1
High Seas
$0.62
Nova | Toy Soldier
Nova
Toy Soldier
$0.56
CZ75-Auto | Eco
CZ75-Auto
Eco
$0.55
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Drop rate · 79.92%1 in 1.25
P90 | Traction
P90
Traction
$0.25
Dual Berettas | Shred
Dual Berettas
Shred
$0.24
AUG | Amber Slipstream
AUG
Amber Slipstream
$0.23
MP9 | Capillary
MP9
Capillary
$0.22
Glock-18 | Warhawk
Glock-18
Warhawk
$0.21
R8 Revolver | Survivalist
R8 Revolver
Survivalist
$0.20
Tec-9 | Snek-9
Tec-9
Snek-9
$0.20

Opening value

Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$3.77incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$1.71
Expected ROI−54.6%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$0.40
Classified$0.35
Covert$0.33
Mil-Spec$0.33
Restricted$0.31