Container
Operation Breakout Weapon Case
Current case price
$6.68+2.8%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
5 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
4 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
13 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Butterfly Knife
Floor$370.41
Top item$1,881.92
items13
Butterfly Knife
Fade
$1,881.92
Butterfly Knife
Vanilla
$1,063.43
Butterfly Knife
Slaughter
$1,015.14
Butterfly Knife
Blue Steel
$608.56
Butterfly Knife
Case Hardened
$581.14
Butterfly Knife
Stained
$469.57
Butterfly Knife
Night
$434.33
Butterfly Knife
Crimson Web
$412.98
Butterfly Knife
Scorched
$388.33
Butterfly Knife
Urban Masked
$384.90
Butterfly Knife
Boreal Forest
$377.12
Butterfly Knife
Safari Mesh
$375.88
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 4 items
Mil-Spec · 5 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$9.17incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$4.01
Expected ROI−56.3%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$1.80
Covert$0.99
Classified$0.59
Mil-Spec$0.33
Restricted$0.30