Container
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case
Current case price
$4.78−6.9%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
No opens logged yet — be the first to crack one above.
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
5 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
4 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
65 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Karambit★ M9 Bayonet★ Bayonet★ Flip Knife★ Gut Knife
Floor$41.58
Top item$1,727.60
items65
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 4 items
Mil-Spec · 5 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$7.27incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$4.30
Expected ROI−40.8%
Where the value comes from
Mil-Spec$1.36
Restricted$1.26
Rare Special Item$0.79
Covert$0.51
Classified$0.37