Container
Prisma Case
Current case price
$1.07+0.3%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
52 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Talon Knife★ Stiletto Knife★ Ursus Knife★ Navaja Knife
Floor$33.29
Top item$2,380.00
items52
Talon Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$2,380.00
Talon Knife
Doppler · Ruby
$2,293.97
Stiletto Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$1,679.75
Stiletto Knife
Doppler · Ruby
$1,679.50
Talon Knife
Doppler · Sapphire
$1,574.93
Stiletto Knife
Doppler · Sapphire
$864.00
Talon Knife
Doppler · Phase 1
$746.26
Talon Knife
Doppler · Phase 2
$746.26
Talon Knife
Doppler · Phase 4
$746.26
Talon Knife
Doppler · Phase 3
$738.05
Ursus Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$688.53
Ursus Knife
Doppler · Ruby
$634.34
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$3.56incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$1.69
Expected ROI−52.5%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$0.51
Covert$0.38
Restricted$0.31
Mil-Spec$0.30
Classified$0.18