Container
Recoil Case
Current case price
$0.19−6.3%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
24 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Sport Gloves★ Driver Gloves★ Specialist Gloves★ Hand Wraps★ Moto Gloves★ Broken Fang Gloves
Floor$32.92
Top item$391.81
items24
Sport Gloves
Nocts
$391.81
Driver Gloves
Snow Leopard
$183.90
Sport Gloves
Slingshot
$151.99
Sport Gloves
Scarlet Shamagh
$116.77
Sport Gloves
Big Game
$97.22
Specialist Gloves
Marble Fade
$92.08
Hand Wraps
CAUTION!
$89.49
Driver Gloves
Black Tie
$82.65
Specialist Gloves
Tiger Strike
$80.96
Specialist Gloves
Field Agent
$80.01
Specialist Gloves
Lt. Commander
$65.10
Moto Gloves
Blood Pressure
$64.49
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$2.68incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$0.77
Expected ROI−71.2%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$0.29
Covert$0.21
Classified$0.13
Restricted$0.07
Mil-Spec$0.07