Container
Recoil Sticker Collection
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
No opens logged yet — be the first to crack one above.
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
83.33%
16 items · 1 in 1.2
Restricted
16.67%
16 items · 1 in 6
Restricted · 16 items
Sticker
Hello XM1014 · Gold
$5.20
Sticker
Hello AK-47 · Gold
$2.58
Sticker
Hello AWP · Gold
$2.46
Sticker
Hello M4A4 · Gold
$1.87
Sticker
Hello M4A1-S · Gold
$1.68
Sticker
Hello UMP-45 · Gold
$1.62
Sticker
Hello PP-Bizon · Gold
$1.42
Sticker
Hello FAMAS · Gold
$1.38
Sticker
Hello SG 553 · Gold
$1.17
Sticker
Hello Galil AR · Gold
$1.14
Sticker
Hello MP7 · Gold
$1.05
Sticker
Hello CZ75-Auto · Gold
$0.99
Sticker
Hello AUG · Gold
$0.96
Sticker
Hello MAC-10 · Gold
$0.93
Sticker
Hello P90 · Gold
$0.93
Sticker
Hello MP9 · Gold
$0.75
Mil-Spec · 16 items
Sticker
Hello P90
$1.66
Sticker
Hello M4A4
$1.09
Sticker
Hello Galil AR
$0.84
Sticker
Hello AUG
$0.83
Sticker
Hello MP9
$0.67
Sticker
Hello SG 553
$0.58
Sticker
Hello AK-47
$0.57
Sticker
Hello XM1014
$0.44
Sticker
Hello MP7
$0.42
Sticker
Hello AWP
$0.39
Sticker
Hello FAMAS
$0.32
Sticker
Hello CZ75-Auto
$0.30
Sticker
Hello M4A1-S
$0.30
Sticker
Hello MAC-10
$0.25
Sticker
Hello PP-Bizon
$0.16
Sticker
Hello UMP-45
$0.15
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Expected return$0.74
Where the value comes from
Mil-Spec$0.47
Restricted$0.27