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Shadow Case
Container

Shadow Case

29 items13 ★4 drop odds
Current case price
$1.29+3.0%
Prices & marketplaces →Visit →

Unbox simulator

Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.

Recent opens

Latest community pulls from this container
MP7 | Special DeliveryST™MP7 | Special DeliveryMW 0.140$3.187d agoFAMAS | Survivor ZFAMAS | Survivor ZBS 0.563$0.277d agoGlock-18 | WraithsGlock-18 | WraithsBS 0.656$0.357d agoDual Berettas | Dualing DragonsDual Berettas | Dualing DragonsFT 0.211$0.287d agoFAMAS | Survivor ZFAMAS | Survivor ZFT 0.231$0.297d agoFAMAS | Survivor ZFAMAS | Survivor ZFT 0.198$0.297d agoXM1014 | ScumbriaXM1014 | ScumbriaFT 0.225$0.207d agoP250 | WingshotP250 | WingshotMW 0.096$2.047d agoFAMAS | Survivor ZFAMAS | Survivor ZFT 0.255$0.297d agoP250 | WingshotP250 | WingshotBS 0.572$1.037d agoGlock-18 | WraithsGlock-18 | WraithsBS 0.784$0.357d agoFAMAS | Survivor ZFAMAS | Survivor ZBS 0.567$0.277d ago

Drop odds

Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
4 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
13 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%

Knife & glove types

★ Shadow Daggers
Floor$28.62
Top item$110.62
items13
Shadow Daggers | Fade
Shadow Daggers
Fade
$110.62
Shadow Daggers | Slaughter
Shadow Daggers
Slaughter
$76.24
Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened
Shadow Daggers
Case Hardened
$67.49
Shadow Daggers | Vanilla
Shadow Daggers
Vanilla
$55.99
Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web
Shadow Daggers
Crimson Web
$51.01
Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel
Shadow Daggers
Blue Steel
$45.58
Shadow Daggers | Stained
Shadow Daggers
Stained
$38.71
Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked
Shadow Daggers
Urban Masked
$37.64
Shadow Daggers | Night
Shadow Daggers
Night
$36.74
Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT
Shadow Daggers
Forest DDPAT
$34.94
Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh
Shadow Daggers
Safari Mesh
$33.05
Shadow Daggers | Scorched
Shadow Daggers
Scorched
$30.78
Covert · 2 items
Drop rate · 0.64%1 in 156
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
USP-S
Kill Confirmed
$49.22
M4A1-S | Golden Coil
M4A1-S
Golden Coil
$42.71
Classified · 3 items
Drop rate · 3.20%1 in 31
AK-47 | Frontside Misty
AK-47
Frontside Misty
$13.09
SSG 08 | Big Iron
SSG 08
Big Iron
$7.05
G3SG1 | Flux
G3SG1
Flux
$5.37
Restricted · 4 items
Drop rate · 15.98%1 in 6
Galil AR | Stone Cold
Galil AR
Stone Cold
$1.62
P250 | Wingshot
P250
Wingshot
$1.04
MP7 | Special Delivery
MP7
Special Delivery
$0.84
M249 | Nebula Crusader
M249
Nebula Crusader
$0.79
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Drop rate · 79.92%1 in 1.25
Glock-18 | Wraiths
Glock-18
Wraiths
$0.30
FAMAS | Survivor Z
FAMAS
Survivor Z
$0.26
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons
Dual Berettas
Dualing Dragons
$0.22
MAG-7 | Cobalt Core
MAG-7
Cobalt Core
$0.21
MAC-10 | Rangeen
MAC-10
Rangeen
$0.17
SCAR-20 | Green Marine
SCAR-20
Green Marine
$0.13
XM1014 | Scumbria
XM1014
Scumbria
$0.11

Opening value

Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$3.78incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$1.69
Expected ROI−55.3%
Where the value comes from
Covert$0.44
Classified$0.43
Mil-Spec$0.36
Restricted$0.32
Rare Special Item$0.15