Container
Spectrum Case
Current case price
$2.81−2.1%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
60 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Butterfly Knife★ Huntsman Knife★ Falchion Knife★ Bowie Knife★ Shadow Daggers
Floor$32.93
Top item$10,349.98
items60
Butterfly Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$10,349.98
Butterfly Knife
Doppler · Ruby
$8,019.40
Butterfly Knife
Doppler · Sapphire
$4,792.83
Butterfly Knife
Doppler · Phase 2
$3,201.79
Butterfly Knife
Doppler · Phase 4
$2,381.82
Butterfly Knife
Doppler · Phase 1
$1,899.00
Butterfly Knife
Doppler · Phase 3
$1,753.81
Butterfly Knife
Marble Fade
$1,001.15
Huntsman Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$932.43
Butterfly Knife
Tiger Tooth
$809.45
Falchion Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$805.99
Bowie Knife
Doppler · Black Pearl
$758.85
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$5.30incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$2.26
Expected ROI−57.4%
Where the value comes from
Rare Special Item$0.71
Covert$0.64
Classified$0.39
Mil-Spec$0.28
Restricted$0.23
