Container
Winter Offensive Weapon Case
Current case price
$9.00−4.0%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
4 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
4 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
65 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Karambit★ M9 Bayonet★ Bayonet★ Flip Knife★ Gut Knife
Floor$38.41
Top item$1,728.00
items65
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 4 items
Mil-Spec · 4 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$11.49incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$5.27
Expected ROI−54.1%
Where the value comes from
Mil-Spec$1.65
Restricted$1.27
Classified$0.95
Rare Special Item$0.78
Covert$0.62
