Container
Operation Hydra Case
Current case price
$22.18+3.8%
Unbox simulator
Real odds, real sounds — zero real money
incl. $2.49 key
Opened0
Spent$0.00
Returned$0.00
Net+$0.00
Statistical simulation using Valve's published odds model and current market prices. No items are created or traded. The long-run expected return of opening cases is negative — this page exists to show exactly how negative.
Recent opens
Latest community pulls from this container
Drop odds
Odds follow Valve's published model — each rarity tier is roughly 5× rarer than the one below it, normalised over the grades this container can drop. Knife/glove specials, where present, take the gold tier.
Mil-Spec
79.92%
7 items · 1 in 1.25
Restricted
15.98%
5 items · 1 in 6
Classified
3.20%
3 items · 1 in 31
Covert
0.64%
2 items · 1 in 156
Rare Special Item
0.26%
24 items · 1 in 385
★Rare special items · 0.26%
Knife & glove types
★ Sport Gloves★ Specialist Gloves★ Moto Gloves★ Hand Wraps★ Driver Gloves★ Bloodhound Gloves
Floor$56.03
Top item$1,713.02
items24
Sport Gloves
Hedge Maze
$1,713.02
Sport Gloves
Pandora's Box
$1,550.00
Specialist Gloves
Crimson Kimono
$950.00
Sport Gloves
Superconductor
$669.82
Specialist Gloves
Emerald Web
$278.71
Moto Gloves
Spearmint
$259.07
Sport Gloves
Arid
$250.06
Hand Wraps
Leather
$176.56
Hand Wraps
Slaughter
$145.59
Specialist Gloves
Foundation
$142.15
Moto Gloves
Cool Mint
$127.03
Driver Gloves
Crimson Weave
$121.75
Covert · 2 items
Classified · 3 items
Restricted · 5 items
Mil-Spec · 7 items
Opening value
Expected return of a single opening — every wear, StatTrak and Doppler-phase outcome weighted by its drop odds at live market prices.
Cost per opening$24.67incl. $2.49 key
Expected return$11.69
Expected ROI−52.6%
Where the value comes from
Mil-Spec$3.96
Restricted$2.79
Classified$2.06
Rare Special Item$1.46
Covert$1.42